Middle east war (Operation Aqsa Storm) causes and effects

What causes the current war in Middle east (Palestine) and what will be the consequences of it regionally and globally?

The escalation of conflict in the Middle east is due to many factors:

• Provocation by Israel on Palestinians by killing them in conflicts: The period of 2017 to 2020 saw the least conflict among the two parties, thereby resulting in a smaller number of casualties. However, after the onset of right-wing parties the conflict started to escalate thereby highest number of incidents were noted in 2022 and 2023.
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
• Underlining the sanctity of Mosque of Aqsa: Israeli police and military has crossed the sanctity of Aqsa Mosque on several occasions which is a red line for all the Muslim world.
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
• Sidelining the core issues of dual state of Palestine and Israel: two state solution is put in the dust bin by Israel and west, which led to the discontent of Palestinians.
  
  
  
• Normalization of relations between Israel and middle eastern countries: one by one middle eastern countries started to normalize their relationship with Israel.
  
  
  
• Far right Israel: after multiple elections, the dominance of far right is increasing which fuel the fire.
  
  
  
• Hamas funding curtailment: west started curtailing the financial resources of Hamas. By last year, Hamas had established a secret network of companies managing $500 million of investments in companies from Turkey to Saudi Arabia, the U.S. Treasury has said, announcing sanctions on the firms in May, 2022. Israel has long accused Iran's clerical rulers of stoking violence by supplying arms to Hamas.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/hamas-cash-to-crypto-global-finance-maze-israels-sights-2023-10-16/

Hamas has planned, prepared and executed Aqsa storm which caught everyone by surprise.

Their main aim was to catch the military personals and bargain with Israel on their own terms. Killing of civilians is not acceptable and to be denied in strongest terms. However, the witness reports says that most of the civilians killed in Israel are due to them being caught in cross fire from Israel side.

The consequences of Aqsa storm are going to have long term impact on middle east. Some of them are as follows:

• The invincibility of Israel is proven wrong: the way this operation was executed, and such a large number of prisoners were taken captive with mediocre weaponry has shattered the invincibility of Israel.
  
  
  
• Mossad intelligence failure: biggest setback was the total failure of intelligence in intercepting the preparation and execution of this operation. How come such activities which were under plan for many months was ignored or taken easy. Once the war settled, this subject will be debated, and heads will roll down.
  
  
  
• Iron dome shelter: famous shield called as Iron dome weaknesses has been exposed. Many rockets pass thru the defense and did considerable damage. Considering the ineptness of Israeli defense with limited resources organization like Hamas put the risk of what will happen if all rivals neighbors pound them from all directions
  
  
  
• High death of Israel: for the first time in the history the death toll of Israelis (more than 1400 till date) are higher, which will make them insecure and many of them will fled to the nations they seem peaceful
  
  
  
• Israel begs for support of funds: Israel immediately started asking for help from their masters, without whom they cannot survive. 10 billion fund is requested which will be diverted by ignoring the Ukraine and Taiwan episodes. Israel has asked the United States for $10 billion worth of emergency aid, US media reported, citing three officials familiar with the request. Lawmakers and the White House are crafting a package linking assistance for Israel with aid to Ukraine, funds to fortify the US-Mexico border, and aid to Taiwan.  @SputnikInt
  
  
  

• Destruction of Gaza: blind bombing of civilian structure is resulting in high number of casualties and the complete infrastructure of Gaza is demolished.
• Hospitals and medical staff are attacked: many hospitals, paramedics, ambulances are attacked which are against the ethics of war. At least 24 UN sites in Gaza Strip damaged by Israeli strikes and bombing, according to UN SputnikInt  https://www.aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/4-paramedics-killed-in-israeli-attacks-on-gaza-strip/3015778 
  
  
  

• Killing of children and innocents: hundreds of children, women and old people are getting killed which are tilting the support against Israel.
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
• Media bias: western media has been exposed on their hypocrisy while reporting between oppressed and oppressor. They consider Russia as oppressor whereas Israel who has forcefully taken lands of indigenous Arabs locals and ignored all UN resolutions is considered as victim.
  

  

  
  
  
  
• Countries polarity: Beside western block, all major countries are backing the two-state solution for Palestine including China and Russia. all are condemning killing of civilians on both sides. The pressure will increase further with each passing day of violence.
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  

  

  
  
  
  
• Arab normalization on hold: Saudia has put on hold the normalization process with Israel. 
  
  
  

https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20231014-saudi-pauses-talks-on-normalisation-with-israel-source 

• Journalist are killed: number of journalists were bombed and killed. Till date 15+ journalist has been reportedly killed. 11 journalists were killed in Israeli strikes on Gaza and 50 media buildings were destroyed;@SputnikInt
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
• Fear of long war in case of invasion: ground offensive will be painful for Israel, as they don’t have numbers in their favor in terms of Arms and army personals. The reserves who were called are not quite trained and it will result in high attritions. Israel's defense minister expects long and costly war, yet remains confident of victory v.aa.com.tr/3022338 
• see detail report https://tinyurl.com/37vzkfcf
• https://www.quora.com/Israel-troops-ground-invasion-to-Gaza-is-likely-to-result-in-huge-casualties-of-the-troops-Can-they-actually-invade/answer/Kanthaswamy-Balasubramaniam?ch=3&oid=1477743702249642&share=4337270f&srid=udPhj&target_type=answer
• Boycott western products: As the news started circulating among masses, drive to boycott western products like McDonalds, Starbucks, coca cola etc. will rise. Corporates who normally funds Israel will be badly affected and will pressurize them to go for a ceasefire.
  
  
  
• Worldwide protest: globally protest has started in all parts of the world. Western countries like Germany and France who believe themselves to be champion of free speech are trying to curtail them but failing to stop the public anger.
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
• Violent reactions: many countries are afraid that the diaspora might take revenge. Which will get bolder with the barbaric bombing operations of Israel. hate monger sample is seen in USA where 71 years old American man attacked Palestinian child due to media hate campaign. 

• Regional war escalation: it will be difficult for the Israel to counter multi faced war with Hamas, Hezbollah, Syria and Iran with others from Egypt and Yemen start joining. Turkey will not be able to stay neutral for long. Russia and China will engage west in bloodiest part of the world. As warned by Iran Supremo Khamenai: If Israel’s crimes continue, no one will be able to stop Muslims around the world and the resistance forces.  خامنئي⁩: إذا استمرت جرائم إسرائيل فلن يستطيع أحد إيقاف المسلمين حول العالم وقوات المقاومة - لمزيد من الأخبار ومتابعة العدوان على غزة لحظة بلحظة: 

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• Global Corridors IMEC: proposed IMEC corridor passing thru middle east will not be considered safe and investors will look for alternatives.

• Regional  Public support: common Muslims will break all the fences, if the conflict escalates further, as seen in Rifah border, hundreds of Egyptians carried basic needs and reached border to support the Palestinians. similar crowds are gathering in Jordan and many other  places.

•  Netanyahu career: Once dust settled, Netanyahu will be grilled on failures and his political career will be curtailed. voices started to raise from the families of captives who are losing their dear ones and no one really care for them to be freed. There will have to be a much deeper assessment later,” says Barak, and when that happens, he is convinced that the blame will fall on Netanyahu. “It will be clear, above all, that Netanyahu had a flawed strategy for dealing with Hamas, so that he could use it to weaken the Palestinian Authority.

• Use of Phosphorus Bombs: Israel will be held responsible and accountable for use of illegal phosphorous bombs 

• Jews against Zionism: Peace loving Jews will raise up their voice to condemn the atrocities of Israel . No genocide in our name’ Hundreds of American Jews demonstrate in front of the White House to urge Joe Biden to demand an immediate ceasefire in Gaza.

• Westbank settlements: More than 450,000 Israelis live in occupied scattered settlements in west bank. they will be not covered with Iron dome and in case the full blown war escalates, it will be difficult to provide safety to them.

• Loss of USA and rise of China: USA has lost the chance to make a peace settlement between them and slowly china is becoming a successful arbitrator on whom people will start trusting. this will erode the domination of US and make china rise further.

Is Nuking Gaza an option?: Israel cannot nuke Gaza as the impact of the radiation will affect atleast 45% of their lands and population.

• What if Opec cuts oil and gas: Qatar threatens to cut off gas to west

• What will be the final Solution

Non Western countries should force Israel and Hamas to accept the two nation solution with Jerusalem as capital of Palestine. they should stop provocation on each other. Palestine should be allowed to deal all their affairs independently including defense, finance, trade etc. Turkiye, Saudi, Egypt, China etc. should become guarantor of peace agreement. else this escalation will lead to world war

Lets hope the bloodshed stops and peaceful and just agreement is reached for the long time settlement of Palestine issue. 

Jews has found the best guardianship from Muslims through out the history. Christians and pagans tried to annihilate them on various occasions.